Napoli vs Chelsea takes place in the Champions League phase on Wednesday at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
The final matchday arrives with both sides still carrying something at stake, but from very different positions. Napoli sit 25th and need to avoid defeat to keep qualification hopes alive, with a win placing progression firmly back in their control. Chelsea arrive eighth, holding the final automatic qualification spot, but defeat here would almost certainly force them into a playoff.
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Napoli’s campaign has been uneven. They have recorded W2-D2-L3, scoring seven goals and conceding 12. Performances have swung sharply between fixtures, highlighted by a heavy 6-2 defeat away at PSV and more controlled home displays. At home they have beaten Qarabag 2-0, edged Sporting 2-1, and drawn 0-0 with Eintracht Frankfurt.
Underlying numbers reflect that split. Napoli’s xG output sits below the elite sides, but shot volume remains respectable, with midfield runners contributing regularly. Their xPTS places them below the qualification line, reinforcing the pressure on this fixture.
Chelsea arrive with W4-D1-L2. They have scored 14 goals and conceded eight, with matches averaging 3.14 goals. Their xG and xPTS profiles remain strong enough to support a top eight position, but recent away results show vulnerability. A 2-2 draw at Qarabag and a 2-1 defeat at Atalanta exposed defensive gaps, even when Chelsea controlled possession and shot counts.
The context points to urgency on both sides, with Napoli chasing survival and Chelsea protecting status, setting up a game driven by tension rather than comfort.
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