The Premier League continues on Saturday as Liverpool host Burnley at Anfield. The fixture pairs a side pushing for a top four finish against a team battling to stay in the league, with very different season narratives shaping he build up.
Liverpool arrive with solid underlying numbers despite a campaign that has not fully caught fire. Across 21 league games they have scored 32 goals at a rate of 1.52 per match. Home output sits at 1.50 goals per game, with control a consistent theme.
WATCH HERE;
Their home clean sheet rate stands at 40%, while both teams have scored in only 50% of league matches overall. That balance reflects a side capable of managing games rather than forcing extreme score lines. Recent form remains steady rather than explosive, and underlying performance supports that. Liverpool’s xPTS across the season closely tracks their actual return, suggesting results broadly match performance levels rather than variance.
Burnley arrive with far more pressure. They have scored 22 goals from 21 matches, averaging 1.05 per game. That figure hides a sharp split. Home output sits at 0.91 goals per match, while away output increases to 1.20, driven by game state rather than sustained control. Burnley sit low across attacking shot volume, shots on target, and big chance creation.
Their xPTS places them near the foot of the table, reinforcing that results have not been harsh on underlying numbers. Defensively, Burnley struggle to limit territory, conceding high shots inside the box figures and allowing pressure to build. That profile often keeps matches competitive for spells but rarely allows control over 90 minutes.
