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The Premier League season opens with a heavyweight clash as Manchester United host Arsenal at Old Trafford on Sunday afternoon. It is a meeting between two clubs entering the campaign with very different trajectories but equally high expectations.
United’s 2024/25 home record was one of the poorest in their modern history, winning just seven of 19 league matches at Old Trafford. Under Ruben Amorim, they managed only four home victories last season against Ipswich, Southampton, Everton and Aston Villa on the final day. Yet their underlying numbers told a different story with the fifth-best home xPTS (32.10) and a positive xG differential which suggests poor finishing and conversion rates were the main culprits.
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