The Premier League weekend continues at Craven Cottage on Saturday as Fulham host Arsenal in a London derby that has traditionally favoured the visitors.
Fulham arrive stretched by injuries and struggling for form. Marco Silva’s side have lost three of their last four and sit in the bottom third for expected goals and big chances created.
Their attacking options have been hit hard with Sasa Lukic is out for at least a month with an adductor injury, Rodrigo Muniz remains side-lined with a hamstring problem, and Kenny Tete is unlikely to be fully fit. Raul Jimenez is also a doubt after a hip issue. Without a natural striker, Fulham’s attack has looked blunt, averaging just 0.94 xG per game.
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Arsenal, meanwhile, remain one of the most consistent sides in the division. The Gunners have taken five wins from seven and rank second in the league for xG ratio and expected points. Defensively they have been excellent, conceding only three goals in that run and keeping two clean sheets away from home.
Mikel Arteta will be without captain Martin Odegaard due to a knee injury, but Arsenal’s structure and control have remained intact.
History points strongly towards another Arsenal win. They’ve beaten Fulham in 12 of the last 18 meetings, often finding a way through regardless of form. Six of the last seven encounters have seen both teams score, and Fulham have at least shown enough at home to suggest they can compete.
With Arsenal’s discipline, Fulham’s absences, and the compact nature of these London derbies, this could be another tight contest that leans towards the visitors’ greater quality.
How the bookies view it: Visitors heavy favourites
Arsenal are strong favourites at 4/7, which gives them around a 64% chance of winning at Craven Cottage. The draw at 10/3 implies a 23% probability, while Fulham at 5/1 are rated at just 17% to take the points. Those odds reflect both current form and the history of this fixture, with Arsenal winning 12 of the last 18 meetings.
The goal markets are finely balanced. Over 2.5 goals at 10/11 suggests a 52% likelihood, while both teams to score at 1/1 is an even 50-50 call.
Fulham have scored in two of three home games this season, but injuries to Rodrigo Muniz and Raul Jimenez weaken their threat. Arsenal, by contrast, have conceded only three goals all season. The market leans toward a controlled away win with a moderate goal total rather than a high-scoring shoot-out.
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